Difference between revisions of "Talk:Piercing Strike"

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(Probability of piercing strikes?)
 
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-[[User:Phoxtrot|Phoxtrot]] 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)
 
-[[User:Phoxtrot|Phoxtrot]] 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)
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<small>How did you bother to miss at all?
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From what I know, Critical Hit should lurk somewhere around 33% (or have I mistaken that for Piercing Strike). I believe you will need more data. {{User:CHiNback/Sig}} </small>

Revision as of 11:21, 26 March 2008

Probability of piercing strikes?

  • Has anyone beside myself started a statistical analysis on the subject?

With Piercing Strike and Critical Hit both at 96, out of 203 attempts to hit:

  • 20 miss
  • 183 hits (including crits and piercings)
  • 49 piercings
  • 2 crits

This data set is too small to be sure of anything but if I extrapolate linearly to a Piercing Strike ability of 100 and I put aside misses (assuming that piercing chance is evaluated on actual hits and not upfront), I obtain a probability of:

  • 27.89%

Use this number with caution, I didn't even compute the margin of error.

-Phoxtrot 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)


How did you bother to miss at all? From what I know, Critical Hit should lurk somewhere around 33% (or have I mistaken that for Piercing Strike). I believe you will need more data.                  CHiNback - [ Talk - Message - PM ]