Talk:Piercing Strike

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Revision as of 11:21, 26 March 2008 by CHiNback (Talk | contribs)

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Probability of piercing strikes?

  • Has anyone beside myself started a statistical analysis on the subject?

With Piercing Strike and Critical Hit both at 96, out of 203 attempts to hit:

  • 20 miss
  • 183 hits (including crits and piercings)
  • 49 piercings
  • 2 crits

This data set is too small to be sure of anything but if I extrapolate linearly to a Piercing Strike ability of 100 and I put aside misses (assuming that piercing chance is evaluated on actual hits and not upfront), I obtain a probability of:

  • 27.89%

Use this number with caution, I didn't even compute the margin of error.

-Phoxtrot 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)


How did you bother to miss at all? From what I know, Critical Hit should lurk somewhere around 33% (or have I mistaken that for Piercing Strike). I believe you will need more data.                  CHiNback - [ Talk - Message - PM ]