Talk:Piercing Strike

Probability of piercing strikes?

• Has anyone beside myself started a statistical analysis on the subject?

With Piercing Strike and Critical Hit both at 96, out of 203 attempts to hit:

• 20 miss
• 183 hits (including crits and piercings)
• 49 piercings
• 2 crits

This data set is too small to be sure of anything but if I extrapolate linearly to a Piercing Strike ability of 100 and I put aside misses (assuming that piercing chance is evaluated on actual hits and not upfront), I obtain a probability of:

• 27.89%

Use this number with caution, I didn't even compute the margin of error.

-Phoxtrot 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)

How did you bother to miss at all? From what I know, Critical Hit should lurk somewhere around 33% (or have I mistaken that for Piercing Strike). I believe you will need more data.                  CHiNback - [ Talk - Message - PM ]