Difference between revisions of "Talk:Piercing Strike"
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<small>How did you bother to miss at all? | <small>How did you bother to miss at all? | ||
From what I know, Piercing Strike should lurk somewhere around 33%. Also, I believe you need more attack as you seem to have missed more than 2% of the time. I believe you will need more data. {{User:CHiNback/Sig}} </small> | From what I know, Piercing Strike should lurk somewhere around 33%. Also, I believe you need more attack as you seem to have missed more than 2% of the time. I believe you will need more data. {{User:CHiNback/Sig}} </small> | ||
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| + | For 183, using your actual pierce rate, I get an error of +/-6.5% for a 'pretty confident' or +/-8.55% for a 'really finicky' margin. | ||
| + | Do you have a source for the 33% figure, CHiNback? Because if someone's already run it, we can save ourselves a lot of work. --[[User:JoetheRat|JoetheRat]] 18:11, 4 April 2008 (BST) | ||
Revision as of 17:11, 4 April 2008
Probability of piercing strikes?
- Has anyone beside myself started a statistical analysis on the subject?
With Piercing Strike and Critical Hit both at 96, out of 203 attempts to hit:
- 20 miss
- 183 hits (including crits and piercings)
- 49 piercings
- 2 crits
This data set is too small to be sure of anything but if I extrapolate linearly to a Piercing Strike ability of 100 and I put aside misses (assuming that piercing chance is evaluated on actual hits and not upfront), I obtain a probability of:
- 27.89%
Use this number with caution, I didn't even compute the margin of error.
-Phoxtrot 08:37, 26 March 2008 (UTC)
How did you bother to miss at all?
From what I know, Piercing Strike should lurk somewhere around 33%. Also, I believe you need more attack as you seem to have missed more than 2% of the time. I believe you will need more data. CHiNback - [ Talk - Message - PM ]
For 183, using your actual pierce rate, I get an error of +/-6.5% for a 'pretty confident' or +/-8.55% for a 'really finicky' margin. Do you have a source for the 33% figure, CHiNback? Because if someone's already run it, we can save ourselves a lot of work. --JoetheRat 18:11, 4 April 2008 (BST)
